Value Bet: January 6
The issue is whether to stick or twist on, if you made up your mind as you ended off the turkey sandwiches on Boxing Day night.
Having tipped Milansbar and BUCKHORN TIMOTHY (25/1 General) until the card was left last time I’m in the exact same spot and, though I’m sticking with the latter, I’m likely to spin by leaving out Milansbar in favour of EMPEROR’S CHOICE in 20/1 (General).
I have not gone off Milansbar, I rather back Emperor’s Choice on Saturday in the costs. A 20/1 opportunity on Boxing Day night, Milansbar is currently a greatest of 14s now and that is enough to shift allegiance to Venetia Williams’ control who was not even in the race 10 days ago.
Really, he’s only got from the competition due to a 4lb penalty attained last Saturday, in which he took advantage of his lowest handicap mark in nearly five years since he ploughed his way through the Haydock sand to beat West Of The Edge.
He’s formally 3lb well-in then triumph and there’s some evidence that suggests he could back the victory of last week up .
In eight days, both days in heavy earth he gained in February 2013, and in handicaps from the area of a fortnight he was second and first in the exact same month the following year , again, both days in analyzing conditions.
He’s also won a Welsh National before a 3lb higher mark and it must be important he sneaks in at number 20 on the record after stablemate Houblon Des Obeaux, in the original line-up 10 days back, was re-routed into the specialists race in Sandown.
Throughout his career he’s proven that a marathon evaluation in floor is his conditions and he revealed that last weekend.
At 20/1 this latecomer to the party appears to have been underestimated and that I have to have him or it may come after Haydock, although he could chuck the towel .
His greatest run over fences arrived in Chepstow, where he was second to Potter Cross off a similar mark in a fantastic handicap. Tizzard this year who has run him over hurdles has protected his mark. He won either of those races even though he was lucky time it was likely to be Welsh National prep. In analyzing ground he goes well. This is definitely the test of stamina in his profession but I believe that he will improve because of it judging from his very best shape over three miles.
At 25/1, he’s still worth a wager.
Buckhorn Timothy: Chase mark has been protected
Over at Sandown it’s the Veterans’ Handicap Chase Final and the aforementioned Houblon Des Obeaux does have a opportunity in this judging by his triumph in the course in November.
However, he was a little laboured last time once the extra focus on stamina really should’ve suited and in a similar price I had quite back Sue Smith’s CLOUDY TOO in 10/1 (General).
He hasn’t revealed an awful lot this year but nowadays, he appears to want a few runs and his remote next supporting Chase The Spud in Haydock last season was a step in the right direction.
Off a mark of 130 on Saturday he’s 1lb from the handicap, but that his lowest chase mark for five decades and his coach reported him to be functioning in the week.
We all know he handles testing floor and that I thought when he was supporting a quartet of rivals that reoppose this weekend he took to Sandown nicely in this race.
He’s out undoubtedly the best in the weights of that quintet per year on, since he’s 13lb better off with Gas Line Boy, 13lb better off with Theatrical Star, 14lb better off with Loose Chips and 14lb better off using Pete The Feat.
Off a weight that is light he can go nicely and in the prices that are double-figure he’s worth getting on side.
— Sandown Park (@Sandownpark) January 4, 2018
Ben Linfoot seeks the Very Best Value Bets out and in two races at Sandown to a busy Saturday afternoon.
source http://nationalsportingheritageday.co.uk/free-horse-racing-betting-preview-and-tips-for-sandown-welsh-grand-national-horse-racing-sporting-life/
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